اہم حقائق: 10 اکتوبر کو بی ٹی سی کی قیمت میں 19 ارب ڈالر کا زوال؛ اوپن انٹرسٹ 24.2 ارب ڈالر؛ سب سے زیادہ قیمت 126 ہزار ڈالر؛ خطرہ 40 سے 60 ہزار ڈالر کے درمیان۔

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On Oct 10, 2025 BTCUSD flash crash wiped out about $19B in leveraged positions; data into early 2026 show market structure and liquidity remained below pre-crash norms.
1
BTCUSD open interest rose to $24.2B, a five-week high. Perpetual futures funding stayed deeply negative as traders accumulated leveraged short positions, signaling crowded short exposure.
2
BTCUSD futures: speculators net-long, commercial traders net-short — a positioning mix similar to pre-2023 breakout, implying higher volatility risk for Bitcoin trading.
3
Weekly chart: BTCUSD shows a 2022-like macro fractal. Current price ~72,756. Model projects peak near $126,000 in Oct 2025 and possible drop to $40,000–$50,000.
4
Cowen finds three on-chain trough signals absent for BTCUSD: supply profit/loss crossover, MVRV Z-score below zero, and trade below realized (~$54,000) and balance (~$39,000) prices.
5
Bullish MACD crossovers have appeared near past BTCUSD lows. If pattern repeats, Bitcoin could fall below $60,000 or toward $50,000 depending on follow‑through.
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Coinbase Premium turned positive, signaling stronger U.S. demand versus global buyers. Historically this has aligned with BTCUSD strength and coincided with Bitcoin trading above $73,000.
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Pseudonymous analyst on X says a 23-month pattern marked BTCUSD bear lows in 2014, 2018, 2022 and forecasts a 2026 bottom with a subsequent expansion phase.
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source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:9f0350b904e0c:0-key-facts-btc-19b-oct-10-crash-oi-24-2b-peak-126k-risk-40-60k/